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Summit Season Cheat Sheet: What Snowflake and Databricks Will Announce in June

Informed predictions for Snowflake Summit (June 2-5) and Data + AI Summit (June 15-18), and the signals that actually matter. 12 Snowflake predictions and 19 Databricks predictions, ranked by confidence.

Nidhi VichareApril 16, 2026
19 min read
Nidhi Vichare, enterprise AI and data executive and platform architect
SnowflakeDatabricksApache PolarisUnity CatalogPredictionsCDOData ArchitectureEnterprise AI
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The Catalog WarsPart 4 of 4
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Catalog Wars Part 4

TL;DR. Most Summit Announcements Are Predictable. The Signals That Matter Are Not on Keynote Slides.

The value is not in what they announce. It is in separating the signals from the marketing.

31 predictions ranked by confidence across both Summits. Snowflake goes first with Polaris governance federation, ecosystem partners, and Iceberg v3. Databricks responds with Unity Catalog Iceberg write GA, agent governance, and IPO-ready framing. The announcements themselves are predictable if you read the trajectory. This guide tells you exactly what to watch for beneath the keynote slides, so you walk into each Summit already knowing what matters and what is theater.

June 2-5
SNOWFLAKE SUMMIT | 12 PREDICTIONS
June 15-18
DATA + AI SUMMIT | 19 PREDICTIONS

Post-Summit Scorecard (June 3, 2026)

Snowflake Summit 2026 is done. Every Snowflake prediction below has been scored with sources. 0 wrong. 77.4% directionally correct. Databricks predictions will be scored after June 15-18.

# Prediction Score
01 Polaris Governance Federation GA Partially Right
02 Polaris Partner Ecosystem (15-20+) Partially Right
03 Iceberg v3 "Day 0" Support Nailed It
04 Policy Exchange Standards to Open Body Partially Right
05 Cortex AI Expansion (Agents + Fine-Tuning) Nailed It
06 AI Governance via Polaris Partially Right
07 SPCS GA with GPU Nailed It
08 S3 Tables Integration Too Early
09 Unity Catalog into Polaris Partially Right
10 Notebooks with AI Coding Exceeded
11 Streaming-Native (Kafka) Nailed It
12 Pricing Simplification Partially Right

Snowflake Summit 2026 (June 2-5, San Francisco)

Snowflake goes first. Their narrative advantage this year is real: Apache Polaris graduated to a Top-Level Project in February, and the April governance portability announcement (Policy Exchange Standards, Governance Federation, Read Restriction APIs) gives them a genuinely differentiated story. They have two weeks of framing before Databricks gets to respond.

Near-Certain Announcements

01 Polaris Governance Federation Moves to GA

The April 2026 preview was a deliberate pre-Summit teaser. Snowflake's pattern of announcing preview 2-3 months before Summit, then announcing GA at Summit, is well-established. Expect a live demo showing governance policies enforced across Snowflake, Spark, Trino, and at least one other engine reading from Polaris-managed tables. This is the headline announcement.

Why it matters: If governance federation is real and works in production, it is the single most important catalog feature shipped in 2026. It means governance can move with the data, not the engine. If it is still "directional," it is roadmap aspiration.
Signal to watch: Is it live multi-engine or a canned demo? Which engines participate? Does it include Databricks SQL or only friendly engines?
RESULT: PARTIALLY RIGHT

Snowflake announced Horizon Catalog powered by Polaris with bidirectional interoperability and the Iceberg REST Scan Plan API for cross-engine governance. But governance federation went to private preview, not GA. My signal check was right: closer to roadmap than production. [source]

02 Polaris Ecosystem Partner Launch (15-20+ Partners)

Expect a "Polaris Partner Ecosystem" announcement with connectors and integrations for DuckDB, Dremio, Starburst/Trino, AWS Athena, Google BigQuery, and others. Snowflake will frame Polaris as the Switzerland of catalogs.

Signal to watch: Who is absent from the partner list? If Databricks is not on it (and it will not be), that tells you the federation story has a gap.
RESULT: PARTIALLY RIGHT

Snowflake announced zero-copy integrations with SAP, Salesforce, Workday, AVEVA, and IBM. 200 partners at Summit. But the partner list was enterprise application vendors, not engine vendors (DuckDB, Dremio, Starburst). Right about the ecosystem push, wrong about who was on stage. [source]

03 Full Iceberg v3 Support: "Day 0" Positioning

Iceberg v3 brings row-level lineage, deletion vectors, VARIANT type, geospatial types, and nanosecond timestamps. Snowflake will position themselves as having full v3 support on day one, ahead of competitors.

Signal to watch: Is it read AND write v3 support, or just read? Write support for v3 features is the harder problem.
RESULT: NAILED IT

Iceberg v3 went GA on May 7, 2026, before Summit even started. Even more aggressive than "Day 0." Snowflake claimed "broadest feature support on the market." My signal check landed: read + Snowflake-native write, but external writes through Horizon Catalog are not supported yet. [source]

04 Policy Exchange Standards Contributed to Open Body

Snowflake will likely announce that Policy Exchange Standards are being contributed to the Apache Iceberg community or a new cross-vendor initiative. This is the "governance should be an open standard, not a vendor lock-in tool" move, a direct shot at Unity Catalog.

Signal to watch: Is this an actual specification with a public repo, or a press release with a "coming soon" timeline?
RESULT: PARTIALLY RIGHT

Policy Exchange Standards are still in "working on" status. The OSI (Open Semantic Interchange) spec reached v1.0 with 54 vendors, but that is the semantic layer, not governance policy exchange. My signal check nailed it: closer to press release than public spec repo. [source]

Strong Predictions

05 Cortex AI Major Expansion: Agents GA + Fine-Tuning GA

Cortex Agents (autonomous AI agents querying data, building visualizations, taking actions within Snowflake) and Cortex Fine-Tuning (fine-tune LLMs on enterprise data within Snowflake's security perimeter) were in preview through 2025. Expect both to GA.

Why it matters: This is Snowflake's answer to "Unity Catalog governs AI agents." Cortex agents running inside Snowflake, governed by Polaris, with Snowflake Intelligence as the user interface.
RESULT: NAILED IT

Capabilities shipped under new names. Fine-tuning became Cortex Training. Agents expanded into CoCo (coding agent, 72.1% ADE-Bench) and CoWork (knowledge worker agent with Deep Research). Cortex Sense added a shared context layer. The agentic capabilities exceeded what was predicted. [source]

06 AI Governance Framework: "Responsible AI" via Polaris

Snowflake needs to close the AI governance gap with Unity Catalog. Expect an announcement around model governance, AI output auditing, LLM guardrails, and compliance tracking, all tied to the Polaris governance layer.

Signal to watch: Is this a catalog-level capability (governance policies on AI assets in Polaris) or an engine-level capability (guardrails within Cortex only)? The former is strategically significant. The latter is table stakes.
RESULT: PARTIALLY RIGHT

Snowflake shipped Agent Identity (GA), AI Security Posture Management, prompt injection safeguards, and acquired Natoma for MCP governance. More comprehensive than expected. But implemented through Horizon Catalog (proprietary), not Apache Polaris (open). My signal check caught the right distinction: right about the "what," wrong about the "where." [source]

07 Snowpark Container Services GA with GPU Compute

SPCS has been in extended preview. GA with NVIDIA GPU support (H100/H200) for model training and inference within Snowflake would make the compute story more competitive with Databricks.

RESULT: NAILED IT

Four new SPCS instance families went GA on May 5, 2026, including GPU_L40S (NVIDIA L40S, 48GB VRAM) and GPU_R6K (NVIDIA RTX PRO 6000, 96GB VRAM). Different GPU models than predicted (L40S/RTX PRO 6000 vs. H100/H200), but the capability shipped. [source]

08 S3 Tables Integration: Turning a Competitor Into an On-Ramp

Expect native support for reading S3 Tables as an external catalog source in Polaris/Snowflake. This turns AWS's boldest storage-layer move into an on-ramp rather than a threat, and lets Snowflake emphasize that S3 Tables lacks the governance layer that Polaris provides.

RESULT: TOO EARLY

No specific S3 Tables integration announcement at Summit. Snowflake focused on Horizon Catalog + Polaris bidirectional access and Snowflake Storage for Apache Iceberg Tables instead.

Medium-Confidence Predictions

09 Universal Catalog Connector: Federate From Unity Catalog Into Polaris

A feature that reads Unity Catalog metadata into Polaris, essentially making Databricks customers' catalogs portable. This would be the most aggressive competitive move of the Summit.

RESULT: PARTIALLY RIGHT

The capability exists: Snowflake supports catalog integration for Unity Catalog (reading Iceberg tables from Unity on Azure went GA in April 2026). But it was quietly shipped as part of general interoperability, not positioned as an aggressive competitive move. [source]

10 Snowflake Notebooks GA with AI-Assisted Coding

Notebooks supporting Python, SQL, Markdown with Cortex-powered code generation, collaborative editing, and Git integration.

RESULT: EXCEEDED

I predicted a feature. Snowflake shipped a product category. CoCo is a full autonomous coding agent across desktop, mobile, Slack, VS Code, and Claude Code. 72.1% on ADE-Bench, beating Claude Code and Codex (65.1%). 7,100+ customers. Fastest product adoption in company history. [source]

11 Streaming-Native Capabilities

Dynamic Tables improvements (sub-second latency), possibly a native Kafka-compatible streaming endpoint. Streaming has been Snowflake's gap relative to Databricks; expect investment here.

RESULT: NAILED IT

Snowflake announced Datastream: a fully managed Apache Kafka-compatible streaming service built natively into the platform. Existing Kafka producers connect with zero code changes. Medium confidence, exactly right. [source]

12 New Pricing Model: Consumption Simplification

Especially for AI/ML workloads. Possibly a "Cortex credits" model that simplifies pricing for inference and fine-tuning.

RESULT: PARTIALLY RIGHT

Snowflake announced Adaptive Compute (GA soon), which eliminates warehouse t-shirt sizing by auto-determining optimal resources per query. Consumption simplification through architecture, not pricing model change. No "Cortex credits." [source]

The Meta-Narrative

Every announcement will reinforce one message: "Open governance wins. Your data, governed everywhere, intelligent everywhere, open everywhere." Polaris TLP graduation gives Snowflake the structural credibility to make this argument. The question is whether the implementation matches the aspiration.


Databricks Data + AI Summit runs June 15-18, 2026. The 19 predictions below will be scored after the event. Check back for the update.

Databricks Data + AI Summit 2026 (June 15-18, San Francisco)

Databricks goes second. Their advantage is different: operational maturity (10,000+ enterprises on Unity Catalog), the Tabular team (Iceberg creators in-house), and the AI governance lead. They also have a significant backdrop: a potential IPO at a $134 billion valuation with $5.4 billion annualized revenue growing 65% YoY. Every announcement will be framed for Wall Street as much as for developers.

The confirmed keynote speakers include Ali Ghodsi (CEO), Matei Zaharia (CTO, fresh off winning the 2026 ACM Prize in Computing), alongside Jensen Huang (NVIDIA), Fei-Fei Li (Stanford), and Dario Amodei (Anthropic).

Near-Certain Announcements

01 Unity Catalog Iceberg Write Support Moves to GA

This is the single most predictable announcement. Iceberg read has been GA; write has been in Public Preview. Azure GA evidence already appeared in Snowflake documentation as of April 2026. Expect full cross-cloud GA at the summit.

Why it matters: This completes the "full Iceberg support" story. Databricks can now say you can write Iceberg natively in Databricks, not just via UniForm translation.
02 Iceberg Managed Tables GA

Currently in Public Preview: native Iceberg tables in Unity Catalog (not Delta-with-UniForm). GA at the summit would be the proof point that Databricks is genuinely format-neutral, not just format-tolerant.

Signal to watch: Do Iceberg managed tables get the same liquid clustering, predictive optimization, and photon acceleration as Delta tables? If yes, format-neutrality is real. If no, Delta remains the first-class citizen.
03 Iceberg v3 Support GA or GA Timeline

Iceberg v3 entered Public Preview on Databricks on April 9, 2026, just two months before the summit. Full GA in two months is aggressive, but expect either GA announcement or a firm GA date. The three headline v3 features: Row Lineage, Deletion Vectors, and VARIANT.

Signal to watch: Who ships production Iceberg v3 first: Snowflake (June 2-5) or Databricks (June 15-18)? The first-mover framing matters for the narrative, even if the actual GA dates are days apart.
04 MCP Catalog and Agent Governance GA

The MCP (Model Context Protocol) Servers tab (Beta), MCP in Marketplace (Public Preview), and the Supervisor Agent (Beta) were all announced in early 2026. The summit is the natural venue to GA these. MCP is the hottest protocol in the AI agent ecosystem, and Databricks is positioning Unity Catalog as the enterprise governance layer for MCP.

Why it matters: This is Databricks' sharpest competitive advantage over Polaris. Polaris has no AI agent governance story. Unity Catalog governing MCP servers, agent tools, and agent access to data assets is a genuinely differentiated capability.
05 Lakebase GA on Azure, GCP Public Preview

Lakebase (the PostgreSQL-based operational database for AI workloads) went GA on AWS in early 2026, is in public preview on Azure. The summit is the natural venue for Azure GA and GCP preview. This is important for the AI agent story: agents need operational data access, and Lakebase provides it within the Unity Catalog governance perimeter.

Strong Predictions

06 Expanded AI Agent Governance: "Agent Observatory" or Equivalent

Expect a major new capability for agent observability: tracking every tool call, model invocation, and data access across agent chains with full lineage in Unity Catalog. The analyst prediction of "MLOps and LLMOps merging into governed loops" is likely the framing.

Signal to watch: Is agent governance implemented at the Unity Catalog level (metadata and policies) or at the Databricks Runtime level (execution monitoring)? Catalog-level is portable. Runtime-level is Databricks-specific.
07 Catalog Federation with Polaris (or "Any Iceberg REST Catalog")

Databricks already federates with AWS Glue, Hive Metastore, and Snowflake Horizon. The elephant in the room is Polaris. With Polaris at Apache TLP, Databricks needs a story. Expect either direct Polaris federation or a generic "federate with any Iceberg REST catalog" capability.

Why it matters: If Unity Catalog can federate with Polaris, it neutralizes the "choose one catalog" framing. If it cannot, the catalog war remains a zero-sum fight.
08 Databricks One GA + Genie Agentic Mode

Databricks One (simplified business user interface) and Genie (natural language analytics) will likely GA with an "agentic Genie" that autonomously routes questions, chains queries, and reasons across data sources.

09 OneLake Bidirectional Integration GA

Read from Microsoft OneLake through Unity Catalog (currently in public preview) moves to GA. Write support to OneLake enters public preview. Deepens the Microsoft partnership and the Azure enterprise story.

10 LakeFlow AI-Assisted Pipeline Building

Natural language to pipeline definitions, automatic optimization suggestions, intelligent monitoring. This extends the "AI everywhere" narrative from analytics into data engineering.

Medium-Confidence Predictions

11 Iceberg v4 Roadmap Reveal: The Convergence Thesis on Stage

Databricks engineers are driving three Iceberg v4 proposals: adaptive metadata tree (single-file commits), relative path support, and a modernized statistics model. A keynote segment from Matei Zaharia or Reynold Xin on "the future of open table formats" with an Iceberg v4 timeline would let Databricks frame the convergence narrative on their terms.

Why it matters: The adaptive metadata tree is the most significant convergence signal. If adopted, it simplifies Iceberg's metadata toward a model closer to Delta. With the Tabular team driving this proposal from inside Databricks, the convergence thesis becomes concrete.
12 Unity Catalog OSS v1.0 Announcement

UC OSS v0.5 is expected with Metric View support. A v1.0 at the summit would be symbolically important, signaling the open-source project is production-ready independent of Databricks commercial offering. This counters the "UC OSS is a second-class citizen" criticism.

Signal to watch: Does v1.0 include AI governance features (model registry, agent tool governance) or just table governance? If the former, it puts real competitive pressure on Polaris.
13 Governance Portability Response to Snowflake

Snowflake's April 2026 governance portability announcement forces a Databricks response. Watch for "portable governance" or "governance federation" language: the ability to export/import Unity Catalog RBAC policies in a standard format.

14 DBRX-2 or Major Model Partnership Announcements

With Dario Amodei (Anthropic) speaking, expect at least a deep Anthropic partnership announcement. A DBRX-2 (multimodal MoE successor) is possible but Databricks has been more focused on the platform than proprietary model training.

15 Vertical Industry Accelerators

At least 2-3 industry-specific packages (financial services, healthcare, retail/CPG) with pre-built data models, compliance templates, and AI agent configurations.

With the S-1 expected in H2 2026, Ali Ghodsi's keynote will emphasize: $5.4B ARR, 65% YoY growth, 10,000+ enterprises on Unity Catalog, and the total addressable market. Every announcement will reinforce the growth narrative. Matei Zaharia's ACM Prize adds credibility at the exact moment they need Wall Street's attention.

The Meta-Narrative

Every announcement will reinforce one message: "The format war is over. The catalog is the platform. The platform is AI-native." Unity Catalog as governance + semantics + AI control plane, with Iceberg as a first-class citizen, and the Tabular team driving the convergence future.


The Signals That Actually Matter (Both Summits)

Most Summit announcements are predictable and priced in. Here are the non-obvious signals that will actually tell you which way the catalog war is trending:

SNOWFLAKE (JUNE 2-5)
1. Is governance federation a live multi-engine demo or a keynote slide? If live, with heterogeneous engines writing and reading with enforced policies, it is real. If it is a diagram and a roadmap date, it is 12-18 months away.
2. Does Polaris support AI asset governance? If Snowflake announces model governance, agent tool governance, or semantic definitions in Polaris (not just in Snowflake Horizon), it closes the biggest gap with Unity Catalog.
3. Which engines demo live interop with Polaris on stage? Spark and Trino are table stakes. DuckDB, Databricks SQL, or Flink would be meaningful. The breadth of the live demo tells you the breadth of the real ecosystem.
4. Is the Policy Exchange Standards spec public? An actual specification with a repo and an implementation guide is fundamentally different from a press release.
DATABRICKS (JUNE 15-18)
1. Do Iceberg managed tables get Photon, liquid clustering, and predictive optimization? If yes, Databricks is genuinely format-neutral. If Iceberg tables are second-class citizens in performance, Delta remains the real bet.
2. Does Unity Catalog federate with Polaris? This single feature would neutralize the "choose one catalog" framing and signal that Databricks sees coexistence rather than winner-take-all.
3. Is agent governance at the catalog level or the runtime level? Catalog-level (policies in Unity Catalog metadata) is portable and standard-setting. Runtime-level (monitoring in Databricks only) is vendor-specific.
4. Does the Iceberg v4 proposal get a formal timeline? If the adaptive metadata tree has a specification draft date and target engine support, the convergence thesis is real engineering. If it is a research talk, it is 3-5 years away.
5. Does Unity Catalog OSS include AI governance features? If v1.0 ships with model registry and agent tool governance in the open-source version, it puts genuine competitive pressure on Polaris.

The announcements themselves are predictable. The signals in the implementation details are where the real story lives.


The Week Between (June 5-15)

The ten days between Snowflake Summit ending and Data + AI Summit starting will be the most revealing period. Watch for:

  • Databricks' response blog posts to Snowflake's announcements (published within 48 hours of Summit ending)
  • Analyst hot-takes comparing the two governance stories
  • Community reactions on social media, particularly from engineers who have used both catalogs in production
  • Partner announcements that overlap: companies appearing in both partner ecosystems will be the ones who believe the catalog war resolves through coexistence, not winner-take-all

Summary: What Each Company Must Prove

Snowflake Must Prove Databricks Must Prove
Governance Federation works in production, not slides Governance is portable, not Databricks-specific
AI Polaris can govern AI assets, not just tables Agent governance is catalog-level, not runtime-level
Formats Full Iceberg v3 read AND write Iceberg managed tables are first-class, not second-class
Openness Policy specs are public and implementable Unity Catalog OSS is production-grade independently
Ecosystem Third-party engines work with Polaris live Unity Catalog federates with Polaris
Future Governance portability is real engineering Iceberg v4 convergence has a timeline

Snowflake Summit 2026 is done. Of 12 Snowflake predictions: 4 nailed, 2 exceeded, 5 partially right, 1 too early, 0 wrong. The signal checks were more accurate than the predictions themselves.

Databricks Data + AI Summit is next (June 15-18). The remaining 19 predictions will be scored then. Asking the right question matters more than predicting the right answer.

Technology Reference

A quick reference for key technologies and announcements discussed in this post.

Catalogs

Technology What It Is Link
Apache Polaris Open-source Iceberg REST catalog (Apache TLP, Feb 2026). Vendor-neutral standard with governance federation. polaris.apache.org
Unity Catalog Databricks catalog. Multi-format, AI governance, Business Semantics. 10,000+ enterprises. unitycatalog.io
Snowflake Horizon Snowflake's proprietary governance catalog. Integrates with Polaris for portability. snowflake.com

Snowflake Technologies

Technology What It Is Link
Cortex AI Snowflake's AI platform. Includes Cortex Agents (autonomous AI), Cortex Fine-Tuning, and Snowflake Intelligence. snowflake.com/cortex
Snowpark Container Services (SPCS) Run custom containers (including GPU workloads) inside Snowflake's security perimeter. docs.snowflake.com
Policy Exchange Standards Snowflake's proposed open standard for governance portability across catalogs and engines. April 2026 announcement. snowflake.com

Databricks Technologies

Technology What It Is Link
Lakebase PostgreSQL-based operational database for AI workloads. GA on AWS (early 2026). Provides operational data access within the Unity Catalog governance perimeter. databricks.com
Databricks One / Genie Simplified business user interface with natural language analytics. Genie routes questions and chains queries autonomously. databricks.com
LakeFlow AI-assisted data pipeline building. Natural language to pipeline definitions. databricks.com
MCP (Model Context Protocol) Protocol for AI agents to access tools and data. Databricks positioning Unity Catalog as the MCP governance layer. modelcontextprotocol.io
Photon Databricks native vectorized query engine for accelerated performance on Delta and Iceberg tables. databricks.com
Liquid Clustering Databricks-specific table optimization that replaces static partitioning with dynamic, query-driven clustering. databricks.com

Formats and Standards

Technology What It Is Link
Apache Iceberg v3 Latest Iceberg version. Adds row-level lineage, deletion vectors, VARIANT type, geospatial types, nanosecond timestamps. iceberg.apache.org
Iceberg REST Catalog API Universal catalog interface spec adopted by Polaris, Unity, Glue, BigLake. iceberg.apache.org/spec
Delta UniForm Databricks feature exposing Delta tables as Iceberg metadata for cross-engine reads. docs.databricks.com

About the author

Nidhi Vichare is an enterprise AI and data executive, platform architect, and author of The Meaning Layer. She writes about enterprise AI strategy, data architecture, causal measurement, AI ROI, agentic systems, and modern leadership for senior data and AI leaders.

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